理性预期，或者叫做理性预期假说，一个经济学的假说，人们针对某个经济现象（例如市场价格）进行的预期，是理性的 ...

Rational expectation is often thought of as a school of economic thought and there have been criticisms on the lagging monetary policy and fiscal deficits. Are monetary and fiscal policy in the US ...

Rational Expectations' is a problematic theory in economics. Here I want to focus more away from economics; and more on the meanings of 'rationality' in decision-making, than on the problematic ...

Enter rational expectations theory, an idea first introduced by economist John Muth in the 1960s and later popularized by Robert Lucas. It challenged earlier economic theories by advocating that ...

in Hall J and Phillips P C B eds., Essays in economics and econometrics, Basil Blackwell, 1993 Leave your details above if you would like to receive emails containing the latest thought leadership, ...

Numerous polls have shown investor sentiment to be highly bullish. That brings us to the principle of rational expectations – an economic theory that suggests individuals make decisions based on ...

But why does this happen, and how do rational expectations lead us into a bubble-filled frenzy? This article unpacks the nuances of overvaluation by focusing on three key components – the herd ...

Robert Lucas, who won a Nobel Prize for his path-breaking work on rational expectations that questioned the efficacy of government intervention in the economy, has died. He was 85. His death was ...