Mark Carney's Liberal Party is set for victory in next week's federal election, according to an electoral projection. The Liberal Party (LPC) is forecast to win 186 seats in Monday's election ...

The map was created before Election Day 2024 as a prediction of how women might vote. In early November 2024, a map spread on social media, allegedly depicting the results of the Nov. 5 ...

Robinhood Markets HOOD new election prediction market is reshaping how people consume information, with CEO Vlad Tenev saying it could redefine how users get real-time news. The platform’s CEO ...

Unofficial election predictions like the Nickelodeon kids pick the president poll also got it wrong this year. After correctly predicting seven out of nine presidential elections in the last 36 ...

Peter Thiel made a "contrarian" prediction that the election wouldn't be close. He was right: Trump is on track to sweep the swing states, and he overperformed in blue states. Thiel has a history ...

Of course, the Crypto Twitter crowd was quick to call it a crystal-ball moment. “Those ‘prediction market whales’ were more dialed in than the polling experts [that are] paid millions of dollars to ...

Historian Allan Lichtman reaffirmed his 2024 election prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly defeat former President Donald Trump, and called out fellow predictor Nate Silver ...

What is a prediction market? Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated ...

Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Presidential election have been rising on prediction markets. That’s not surprising. Although no single event stands out, most commentators see October ...

On a special episode (first released on October 3, 2024) of The Excerpt podcast: Who will win this razor-tight presidential election in ... of 13 keys to make his predictions.

Kalshi launched U.S. election prediction markets after court win against CFTC CFTC appealed the decision, seeking to block election gambling Judge ruled CFTC overextended its authority in trying to ...

Prediction market platform Kalshi launched its first U.S. election betting pool Thursday following a federal court win against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which has appealed ...