NOAA, the country’s top weather agency, released its forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season last week, but how accurate are their forecasts?

NOAA's forecasting model, the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System or HAFS, is expected to undergo an upgrade that officials believe could increase the accuracy of storm tracking by about 5%.

Forecasters within NOAA’s National Weather Service have announced the status of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. The report predicts an above-normal activity in the Atlantic basin this year ...

Federally-funded research improves accuracy. A primary reason for the increasingly accurate NOAA hurricane season forecasts over the past 10 years relates to advances in research and technology.

NOAA's predictions for the coming Atlantic hurricane season are on par with other meteorological agencies. AccuWeather was one of the first agencies to release a 2025 hurricane forecast in March.

NOAA released its outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season on May 22. NOAA is forecasting above-normal hurricane activity this season, with as many as 19 named storms.

Confidence is growing that a more active than average Atlantic hurricane season is about to begin in just over a week. NOAA is now forecasting a 6-in-10 chance of an above-average hurricane season.

The aircraft is part of NOAA's Hurricane Preparedness Week, May 7-13, 2017. / AFP PHOTO / RHONA WISE (Photo credit should read RHONA WISE/AFP via Getty Images) AFP via Getty Images.

NOAA is forecasting 13 to 19 named storms this year with winds of 39 mph or higher. Of those, six to 10 are expected to reach hurricane strength, officials said.

An early forecast calls for an above-average hurricane season this summer, and the nation's top storm-tracking agency has just been hit with deep staff cuts.