GIS provides independent, unbiased scenario-based geopolitical forecasting and analysis with a focus on relevance for decisionmakers.

The Maastricht Treaty reshaped Europe, but its centralizing ambitions betrayed economic growth and triggered crises still unfolding today. After the Maastricht Treaty ...

China has entered a deflationary cycle, exposing stark economic disparities amid slowing growth and cautious policy changes. China has been facing ongoing deflation, with prices declining for six ...

Facing war fatigue at home, Western governments are tempted to use Russian foreign exchange reserves to pay for aid to Ukraine. The stakes are higher than some policymakers realize. An illuminated ...

The recent BRICS summit in Johannesburg confirmed the transition to a multipolar order where, despite the salience of the United States and China, medium powers and regional alignments are also ...

The rapid rise of piracy in the Gulf of Guinea poses a threat to regional security and could fuel jihadist movements coming from the inland. The coastal area surrounding the Gulf of Guinea comprises ...

The direction of the world economy is unclear. Geopolitical crises may disrupt supply chains (wars in various parts of the world), financial overhangs need resolute answers (public debts and ...

After a rapprochement with Europe followed by an inconclusive attempt to join the European Union in the 1990s and early 2000s, Turkey shifted its focus to Africa. At first, this pivot was motivated by ...

Old industrial countries’ paternalistic approach to Global South countries is wrongheaded and impractical. In paternalistically offering development aid handouts ...

Algeria, Egypt and Israel can increase their gas shipments to energy-desperate Europe, but they can reduce its dependence on supplies from Russia only so much. Europe’s difficult energy situation in ...

From China and Iraq to Nigeria and North Korea, religious persecution remains a scourge well into the 21st century. Guaranteeing freedom of faith for all is a moral imperative, and would strengthen ...

Technical and, above all, political obstacles block Cyprus’s way to becoming a natural gas producer and exporter. Some Mediterranean neighbors, including Turkey, complicate the problem. A view of the ...