当前监测显示：热带中太平洋云量略减，国际日期变更线附近东风信风稍强于平均水平，而横跨太平洋的海平面气压场（通过赤道南方涛动指数衡量）微幅正异常。这些指标均与偏强的沃克环流特征吻合，表明热带太平洋大气仍维持微弱拉尼娜倾向。不过，这些已是近期最接近平均值的状态——相较于海洋指标的稳定性，热带大气月尺度指标的波动性显著更大。

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