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本文着重探讨三种主流波动率建模方法:广义自回归条件异方差模型(GARCH)、Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle-GARCH模型(GJR-GARCH)以及异质自回归模型(HAR)。本文将 ...
主要比较了三种模型:(a)样本协方差或等权重模型,(b)指数加权移动平均(EWMA)模型,以及(c)广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)(1,1 ...
常见的预测波动率模型有EWMA模型和 GARCH模型等。 GARCH模型 自从Engle(1982)提出ARCH模型分析时间序列的异方差性以后,T.Boller-slev(1986)又提出了 ...
We present backtesting results for 1% and 2.5% VaR of six indexes from emerging and developed countries using several of the best-known VaR models, including generalized autoregressive conditional ...
A family of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models, extreme value theory (EVT) and a dynamic bivariate technique are considered to demonstrate different volatility ...
Investopedia / Julie Bang The generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) process is an econometric term developed in 1982 by Robert F. Engle, an economist and 2003 winner of ...
When we take the square root and annualize we have volatility. As we move closer to forecasting volatility with GARCH we need to observe a few characteristics of historical volatility. The first ...